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POL Polen - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.45 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg32%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Wisla Plock IILechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Expected goals3.45Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über67% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 24% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Doppelte Chance1276.1%1.31
Über 67% · Unter 33%Goals 2.5Über67%1.49
Ja 68% · Nein 32%Beide Teams treffenJa68%1.47
3.45 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapWisla Plock II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wisla Plock II win44%2.272.0044.9%-0.9 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki win32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wisla Plock II1.75

Heim share of expected goals 50.7%

Total expected goals3.45Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 67% · Unter 33%

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki1.70

Auswärts share of expected goals 49.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 68% · Nein 32%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Wisla Plock II

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.75
Expected goals
1.70
Wisla Plock IILechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wisla Plock II signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wisla Plock II Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 24%,Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Über 2.5 67% · Current selection Über