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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.45 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw24%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Wisla Plock IILechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Expected goals3.45Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 24% / 32%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Double chance1276.1%1.31
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.45 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapWisla Plock II winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wisla Plock II win44%2.272.0044.9%-0.9 pp
Draw24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki win32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wisla Plock II1.75

Home share of expected goals 50.7%

Total expected goals3.45Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki1.70

Away share of expected goals 49.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Wisla Plock II

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.75
Expected goals
1.70
Wisla Plock IILechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wisla Plock II signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Wisla Plock II vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wisla Plock II win 44%,Draw 24%,Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over