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CHN China Division 2 · Spiel ·

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden32%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Wuhan Three Towns ReservesJiangxi Lushan
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter76% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 32% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jiangxi Lushan win (30.5%)Doppelte Chance1X69.5%1.44
Über 24% · Unter 76%Goals 2.5Unter76%1.32
Ja 32% · Nein 68%Beide Teams treffenNein68%1.47
1.68 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapWuhan Three Towns Reserves winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves win37%2.702.3538.1%-1.1 pp
Unentschieden32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Jiangxi Lushan win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0.75

Heim share of expected goals 44.6%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 24% · Unter 76%

Jiangxi Lushan0.93

Auswärts share of expected goals 55.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nein 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Jiangxi Lushan

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalAuswärts clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
5
0.75
Expected goals
0.93
Wuhan Three Towns ReservesJiangxi Lushan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wuhan Three Towns Reserves signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jiangxi Lushan signalAuswärts clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 32%,Jiangxi Lushan Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Über 2.5 24% · Current selection Unter