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CHN China Division 2 · Partido ·

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante30%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Wuhan Three Towns ReservesJiangxi Lushan
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de76% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 32% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jiangxi Lushan win (30.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X69.5%1.44
Más de 24% · Menos de 76%Goals 2.5Menos de76%1.32
Sí 32% · No 68%Ambos equipos marcanNo68%1.47
1.68 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapWuhan Three Towns Reserves winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves win37%2.702.3538.1%-1.1 pp
Empate32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Jiangxi Lushan win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0.75

Local share of expected goals 44.6%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 24% · Menos de 76%

Jiangxi Lushan0.93

Visitante share of expected goals 55.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Jiangxi Lushan

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalVisitante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
5
0.75
Expected goals
0.93
Wuhan Three Towns ReservesJiangxi Lushan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wuhan Three Towns Reserves signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jiangxi Lushan signalVisitante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves vs Jiangxi Lushan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves ganada 37%,Empate 32%,Jiangxi Lushan ganada 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Más de 2.5 24% · Current selection Menos de