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CHN China Division 2 · Spiel ·

Shanghai Port - Reserve vs Shandong Taishan - Reserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.20 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg28%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Shanghai Port - ReserveShandong Taishan - Reserve
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 30% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shandong Taishan - Reserve win (28.4%)Doppelte Chance1X71.6%1.40
Über 38% · Unter 62%Goals 2.5Unter62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nein 55%Beide Teams treffenNein55%1.82
2.20 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapShanghai Port - Reserve winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shanghai Port - Reserve win42%2.382.1541.9%+0.1 pp
Unentschieden30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Shandong Taishan - Reserve win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shanghai Port - Reserve1.18

Heim share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 38% · Unter 62%

Shandong Taishan - Reserve1.02

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nein 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Shanghai Port - Reserve

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Shandong Taishan - Reserve

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.18
Expected goals
1.02
Shanghai Port - ReserveShandong Taishan - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shanghai Port - Reserve signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shandong Taishan - Reserve signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Shanghai Port - Reserve vs Shandong Taishan - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shanghai Port - Reserve Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 30%,Shandong Taishan - Reserve Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Über 2.5 38% · Current selection Unter