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JPN Japan - J-League · Spiel ·

Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.65 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg33%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg38%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka
Expected goals3.65Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über71% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
33% / 28% / 38%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Doppelte Chance1271.6%1.40
Über 71% · Unter 29%Goals 2.5Über71%1.41
Ja 68% · Nein 32%Beide Teams treffenJa68%1.47
3.65 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mito Hollyhock win33%3.032.7533.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.2029%-1.0 pp
Gamba Osaka win38%2.632.5037.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mito Hollyhock1.45

Heim share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals3.65Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 71% · Unter 29%

Gamba Osaka2.20

Auswärts share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 68% · Nein 32%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Mito Hollyhock

0.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkte0

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Gamba Osaka

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
38%
0
Points from supplied form
9
1.45
Expected goals
2.20
Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mito Hollyhock signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gamba Osaka signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mito Hollyhock Gewinn 33%,Unentschieden 28%,Gamba Osaka Gewinn 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Über 2.5 71% · Current selection Über