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JPN Japan - J-League · Spiel ·

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F-Marinos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–22.75 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg34%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–2Shimizu S-PulseYokohama F-Marinos
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 29% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Doppelte Chance1270.6%1.42
Über 52% · Unter 48%Goals 2.5Über52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapYokohama F-Marinos winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shimizu S-Pulse win37%2.702.4537.5%-0.5 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.1029.7%-0.7 pp
Yokohama F-Marinos win34%2.942.8032.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shimizu S-Pulse1.19

Heim share of expected goals 43.3%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 52% · Unter 48%

Yokohama F-Marinos1.56

Auswärts share of expected goals 56.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Shimizu S-Pulse

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Yokohama F-Marinos

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalAuswärts failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
1.56
Shimizu S-PulseYokohama F-Marinos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shimizu S-Pulse signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Yokohama F-Marinos signalAuswärts failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F-Marinos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shimizu S-Pulse Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 29%,Yokohama F-Marinos Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Über 2.5 52% · Current selection Über