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NLD Niederlande - Eerste Divisie · Spiel ·

Maastricht vs FC Utrecht - Reserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg29%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg43%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg43% selection probability
Projected score1–2MaastrichtFC Utrecht - Reserve
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
29% / 28% / 43%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Doppelte Chance1272.3%1.38
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 57% · Nein 43%Beide Teams treffenJa57%1.75
2.86 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Maastricht win29%3.45
Unentschieden28%3.57
FC Utrecht - Reserve win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maastricht1.19

Heim share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

FC Utrecht - Reserve1.67

Auswärts share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nein 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Maastricht

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht - Reserve

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.19
Expected goals
1.67
MaastrichtFC Utrecht - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maastricht signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Utrecht - Reserve signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Maastricht vs FC Utrecht - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maastricht Gewinn 29%,Unentschieden 28%,FC Utrecht - Reserve Gewinn 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über