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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

Ferro Carril Oeste vs CA Atlanta

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score3–1Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ferro Carril OesteCA Atlanta
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 31% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Atlanta win (20.7%)Doppelte Chance1X79.3%1.26
Über 42% · Unter 58%Goals 2.5Unter58%1.72
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
2.35 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferro Carril Oeste win48%2.081.9548%0.0 pp
Unentschieden31%3.233.0031.2%-0.2 pp
CA Atlanta win21%4.764.5020.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferro Carril Oeste1.54

Heim share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 42% · Unter 58%

CA Atlanta0.81

Auswärts share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Ferro Carril Oeste

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

CA Atlanta

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.54
Expected goals
0.81
Ferro Carril OesteCA Atlanta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferro Carril Oeste signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Atlanta signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Ferro Carril Oeste vs CA Atlanta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferro Carril Oeste Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 31%,CA Atlanta Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Über 2.5 42% · Current selection Unter