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ARG Argentina Nacional B · Final ·

Ferro Carril Oeste vs CA Atlanta

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score3–1Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa48%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite21%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ferro Carril OesteCA Atlanta
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
48% / 31% / 21%Esito partitaVittoria casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Atlanta win (20.7%)Doppia Chance1X79.3%1.26
Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%Goals 2.5Sotto58%1.72
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
2.35 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferro Carril Oeste win48%2.081.9548%0.0 pp
Pareggio31%3.233.0031.2%-0.2 pp
CA Atlanta win21%4.764.5020.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferro Carril Oeste1.54

Casa share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%

CA Atlanta0.81

Trasferta share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Ferro Carril Oeste

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CA Atlanta

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vinta probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.54
Expected goals
0.81
Ferro Carril OesteCA Atlanta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferro Carril Oeste signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Atlanta signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Ferro Carril Oeste vs CA Atlanta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferro Carril Oeste vinta 48%,Pareggio 31%,CA Atlanta vinta 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Sopra 2.5 42% · Current selection Sotto