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NLD Nederlandene - Eerste Divisie · Kamp ·

VVV vs FC Emmen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr42%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr31%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr42% selection probability
Projected score2–1VVVFC Emmen
Expected goals3.22Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
42% / 27% / 31%KampresultatHjemmesejr42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dobbeltchance1273.4%1.36
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Begge hold scorerJa64%1.56
3.22 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
VVV win42%2.38
Uafgjort27%3.70
FC Emmen win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

VVV1.80

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.9%

Total expected goals3.22Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

FC Emmen1.42

Ude share of expected goals 44.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

VVV

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FC Emmen

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalUde unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vundet probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.80
Expected goals
1.42
VVVFC Emmen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01VVV signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Emmen signalUde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

VVV vs FC Emmen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

VVV vundet 42%,Uafgjort 27%,FC Emmen vundet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over