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Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

VVV-Venlo vs FC Emmen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst31%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score2–1VVV-VenloFC Emmen
Expected goals3.22Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 27% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dubbele Kans1273.4%1.36
Boven 62% · Onder 38%Goals 2.5Boven62%1.61
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.22 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
VVV-Venlo win42%2.38
Gelijkspel27%3.70
FC Emmen win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

VVV-Venlo1.80

Thuis share of expected goals 55.9%

Total expected goals3.22Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 62% · Onder 38%

FC Emmen1.42

Uit share of expected goals 44.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

VVV-Venlo

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Emmen

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.80
Expected goals
1.42
VVV-VenloFC Emmen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01VVV-Venlo signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Emmen signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

VVV-Venlo vs FC Emmen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

VVV-Venlo gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 27%,FC Emmen gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Boven 2.5 62% · Current selection Boven