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POL Polen - III Liga · Kamp ·

Wda Swiecie vs Lipno Steszew

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.16 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr44%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr32%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Wda SwiecieLipno Steszew
Expected goals3.16Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
44% / 24% / 32%KampresultatHjemmesejr44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Dobbeltchance1275.7%1.32
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Begge hold scorerJa63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapLipno Steszew winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wda Swiecie win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
Lipno Steszew win32%3.132.9030.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wda Swiecie1.44

Hjemme share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals3.16Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Lipno Steszew1.72

Ude share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Wda Swiecie

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Lipno Steszew

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vundet probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.44
Expected goals
1.72
Wda SwiecieLipno Steszew
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wda Swiecie signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lipno Steszew signalUde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Wda Swiecie vs Lipno Steszew FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wda Swiecie vundet 44%,Uafgjort 24%,Lipno Steszew vundet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over