MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Wda Swiecie vs Lipno Steszew

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.16 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw24%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Wda SwiecieLipno Steszew
Expected goals3.16Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 24% / 32%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Double chance1275.7%1.32
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapLipno Steszew winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wda Swiecie win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
Lipno Steszew win32%3.132.9030.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wda Swiecie1.44

Home share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals3.16Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Lipno Steszew1.72

Away share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Wda Swiecie

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lipno Steszew

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.44
Expected goals
1.72
Wda SwiecieLipno Steszew
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wda Swiecie signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lipno Steszew signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Wda Swiecie vs Lipno Steszew FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wda Swiecie win 44%,Draw 24%,Lipno Steszew win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over