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AUS Australien - Tasmanien - Championship · Round 17 ·

South Hobart reserver vs Hobart City FC

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.73 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr47%
Uafgjort21%
Udesejr32%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 47% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr47% selection probability
Projected score2–2South Hobart reserverHobart City FC
Expected goals3.73Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
47% / 21% / 32%KampresultatHjemmesejr47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.2%)Dobbeltchance1278.8%1.27
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nej 29%Begge hold scorerJa71%1.41
3.73 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
9.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
South Hobart reserver win47%2.13
Uafgjort21%4.76
Hobart City FC win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Hobart reserver2.05

Hjemme share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals3.73Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Hobart City FC1.68

Ude share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nej 29%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

South Hobart reserver

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Hobart City FC

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vundet probability excluding draw
32%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.05
Expected goals
1.68
South Hobart reserverHobart City FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Hobart reserver signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hobart City FC signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

South Hobart reserver vs Hobart City FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Hobart reserver vundet 47%,Uafgjort 21%,Hobart City FC vundet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.73 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over