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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Final ·

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Club Atletico La Paz

Prediction review

Domácí form
Final score0–5Předpověď 2–1
Hosté form
Výhra domácích45%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostů29%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Neúspěšná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Tepatitlan de MorelosClub Atletico La Paz
Expected goals2.61Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně52% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
45% / 26% / 29%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dvojitá šance1274%1.35
Více 48% · Méně 52%Goals 2.5Méně52%1.92
Ano 48% · Ne 52%Oba týmy skórujíNe52%1.92
2.61 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.1 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapTepatitlan de Morelos winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tepatitlan de Morelos win45%2.222.1543.7%+1.3 pp
Remíza26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Club Atletico La Paz win29%3.453.1030.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tepatitlan de Morelos1.74

Domácí share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals2.61Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 48% · Méně 52%

Club Atletico La Paz0.87

Hosté share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 48% · Ne 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Tepatitlan de Morelos

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Club Atletico La Paz

0.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomácí won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Výhra probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.74
Expected goals
0.87
Tepatitlan de MorelosClub Atletico La Paz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tepatitlan de Morelos signalDomácí failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Atletico La Paz signalDomácí won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Club Atletico La Paz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tepatitlan de Morelos výhra 45%,Remíza 26%,Club Atletico La Paz výhra 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.61 · Více 2.5 48% · Current selection Méně