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MEX Мексико - Лига де Експансион · Мач ·

Круз Азул Идалго vs Тепатитлан де Морелос

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.47 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина27%
Равен36%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Круз Азул ИдалгоТепатитлан де Морелос
Expected goals1.47Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под82% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе73% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
27% / 36% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Круз Азул Идалго win (26.7%)Двоен шансX273.3%1.36
Над 18% · Под 82%Goals 2.5Под82%1.22
Да 27% · Не 73%И двата отбора да отбележатНе73%1.37
1.47 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Круз Азул Идалго win27%3.70
Равен36%2.78
Тепатитлан де Морелос win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Круз Азул Идалго0.61

Домакин share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals1.47Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 18% · Под 82%

Тепатитлан де Морелос0.86

Гост share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 27% · Не 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Круз Азул Идалго

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Тепатитлан де Морелос

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
3
0.61
Expected goals
0.86
Круз Азул ИдалгоТепатитлан де Морелос
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Круз Азул Идалго signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Тепатитлан де Морелос signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 36%.

Match questions

Круз Азул Идалго vs Тепатитлан де Морелос FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Круз Азул Идалго печеливш 27%,Равен 36%,Тепатитлан де Морелос печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.47 · Над 2.5 18% · Current selection Под