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ENG Англия - Лига 2 · Мач ·

Нортхямптън vs Суиндън

Archived pre-match prediction

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина41%
Равен26%
Победа за госта33%
Baseline forecastПобеда за домакинаTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина41% selection probability
Projected score1–1НортхямптънСуиндън
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
41% / 26% / 33%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Двоен шанс1273.7%1.36
Над 48% · Под 52%Goals 2.5Под52%1.92
Да 53% · Не 47%И двата отбора да отбележатДа53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.5 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Нортхямптън win41%2.44
Равен26%3.85
Суиндън win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нортхямптън1.39

Домакин share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 48% · Под 52%

Суиндън1.21

Гост share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Не 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Нортхямптън

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Суиндън

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
33%
1
Points from supplied form
1
1.39
Expected goals
1.21
НортхямптънСуиндън
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нортхямптън signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Суиндън signalГост matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Нортхямптън vs Суиндън FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нортхямптън печеливш 41%,Равен 26%,Суиндън печеливш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Над 2.5 48% · Current selection Под