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ENG England - League 2 · Match ·

Northampton vs Swindon

Archived pre-match prediction

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger41%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger33%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger41% selection probability
Projected score1–1NorthamptonSwindon
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
41% / 26% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Dubbelchans1273.7%1.36
Över 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Northampton win41%2.44
Oavgjort26%3.85
Swindon win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Northampton1.39

Hemma share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 48% · Under 52%

Swindon1.21

Borta share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Northampton

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Swindon

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
1
Points from supplied form
1
1.39
Expected goals
1.21
NorthamptonSwindon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Northampton signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Swindon signalBorta matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Northampton vs Swindon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Northampton vunnen 41%,Oavgjort 26%,Swindon vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Över 2.5 48% · Current selection Under