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SWE Швеция - Суперетан · Final ·

Норкьопинг vs Фалкенбергс

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–1Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина60%
Равен23%
Победа за госта17%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина60% selection probability
Projected score2–1НоркьопингФалкенбергс
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
60% / 23% / 17%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фалкенбергс win (16.7%)Двоен шанс1X83.3%1.20
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 41% · Не 59%И двата отбора да отбележатНе59%1.69
2.52 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapНоркьопинг winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Норкьопинг win60%1.671.5059.9%+0.1 pp
Равен23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Фалкенбергс win17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Норкьопинг1.86

Домакин share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Фалкенбергс0.66

Гост share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Не 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Норкьопинг

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Фалкенбергс

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
17%
13
Points from supplied form
8
1.86
Expected goals
0.66
НоркьопингФалкенбергс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Норкьопинг signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фалкенбергс signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Норкьопинг vs Фалкенбергс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Норкьопинг печеливш 60%,Равен 23%,Фалкенбергс печеливш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под