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SWE Schweden - Superettan · Final ·

IFK Norrköping vs Falkenbergs FF

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–1Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg60%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 60% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg60% selection probability
Projected score2–1IFK NorrköpingFalkenbergs FF
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
60% / 23% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Falkenbergs FF win (16.7%)Doppelte Chance1X83.3%1.20
Über 46% · Unter 54%Goals 2.5Unter54%1.85
Ja 41% · Nein 59%Beide Teams treffenNein59%1.69
2.52 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapIFK Norrköping winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IFK Norrköping win60%1.671.5059.9%+0.1 pp
Unentschieden23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Falkenbergs FF win17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Norrköping1.86

Heim share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 46% · Unter 54%

Falkenbergs FF0.66

Auswärts share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nein 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

IFK Norrköping

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Falkenbergs FF

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
13
Points from supplied form
8
1.86
Expected goals
0.66
IFK NorrköpingFalkenbergs FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Norrköping signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Falkenbergs FF signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IFK Norrköping vs Falkenbergs FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Norrköping Gewinn 60%,Unentschieden 23%,Falkenbergs FF Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Über 2.5 46% · Current selection Unter