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BRA Бразилия - Купа Паулиста · Мач ·

ЕС Сао Бернардо vs Сао Каетано

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина51%
Равен28%
Победа за госта21%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина51% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЕС Сао БернардоСао Каетано
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под60% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
51% / 28% / 21%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сао Каетано win (21.3%)Двоен шанс1X78.7%1.27
Над 40% · Под 60%Goals 2.5Под60%1.67
Да 45% · Не 55%И двата отбора да отбележатНе55%1.82
2.30 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ЕС Сао Бернардо win51%1.961.7551.3%
Равен28%3.573.2028%
Сао Каетано win21%4.764.3320.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ЕС Сао Бернардо1.42

Домакин share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 40% · Под 60%

Сао Каетано0.88

Гост share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Не 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ЕС Сао Бернардо

2.00pts / match
Изиграни3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/3

Гост-context · form sequence

Сао Каетано

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalГост clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.42
Expected goals
0.88
ЕС Сао БернардоСао Каетано
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ЕС Сао Бернардо signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сао Каетано signalГост clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ЕС Сао Бернардо vs Сао Каетано FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ЕС Сао Бернардо печеливш 51%,Равен 28%,Сао Каетано печеливш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Над 2.5 40% · Current selection Под