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BRA Brazilië - Copa Paulista · Wedstrijd ·

EC Sao Bernardo vs Sao Caetano

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst51%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst21%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst51% selection probability
Projected score1–1EC Sao BernardoSao Caetano
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
51% / 28% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Caetano win (21.3%)Dubbele Kans1X78.7%1.27
Boven 40% · Onder 60%Goals 2.5Onder60%1.67
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.30 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
EC Sao Bernardo win51%1.961.7551.3%
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028%
Sao Caetano win21%4.764.3320.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

EC Sao Bernardo1.42

Thuis share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 40% · Onder 60%

Sao Caetano0.88

Uit share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

EC Sao Bernardo

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/3

Uit-context · form sequence

Sao Caetano

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.42
Expected goals
0.88
EC Sao BernardoSao Caetano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01EC Sao Bernardo signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Caetano signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

EC Sao Bernardo vs Sao Caetano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

EC Sao Bernardo gewonnen 51%,Gelijkspel 28%,Sao Caetano gewonnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Boven 2.5 40% · Current selection Onder