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SWE 瑞典超級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

BK 赫根 vs 咸史泰斯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝59%
25%
客勝16%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝59% selection probability
Projected score2–1BK 赫根咸史泰斯
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.550% for the selected side
雙方進球58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
59% / 25% / 16%比賽結果主勝59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 咸史泰斯 win (16.1%)雙重機會1X83.9%1.19
大 50% · 小 50%Goals 2.550%2.00
是 42% · 否 58%雙方進球58%1.72
2.68 total expected goals正確比分2–1
10.6 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
BK 赫根 win59%1.69
25%4.00
咸史泰斯 win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BK 赫根2.03

主隊 share of expected goals 75.7%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 50% · 50%

咸史泰斯0.65

客隊 share of expected goals 24.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 42% · 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

BK 赫根

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

咸史泰斯

0.20pts / match
5Wins0Drawn1Losses4積分1

Signal客隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
贏 probability excluding draw
16%
5
Points from supplied form
1
2.03
Expected goals
0.65
BK 赫根咸史泰斯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BK 赫根 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02咸史泰斯 signal客隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

BK 赫根 vs 咸史泰斯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BK 赫根 59%, 25%,咸史泰斯 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · 大2.5 50% · Current selection