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ENG 英格蘭全國聯賽 · Round 1 ·

禾京 vs 瑟顿聯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝51%
26%
客勝22%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝51% selection probability
Projected score2–1禾京瑟顿聯
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.554% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
51% / 26% / 22%比賽結果主勝51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 瑟顿聯 win (22.3%)雙重機會1X77.7%1.29
大 54% · 小 46%Goals 2.554%1.85
是 52% · 否 48%雙方進球52%1.92
2.86 total expected goals正確比分2–1
10.0 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
禾京 win51%1.96
26%3.85
瑟顿聯 win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

禾京1.92

主隊 share of expected goals 67.1%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 54% · 46%

瑟顿聯0.94

客隊 share of expected goals 32.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

禾京

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

瑟顿聯

0.20pts / match
5Wins0Drawn1Losses4積分1

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
贏 probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
1
1.92
Expected goals
0.94
禾京瑟顿聯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01禾京 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02瑟顿聯 signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

禾京 vs 瑟顿聯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

禾京 51%, 26%,瑟顿聯 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · 大2.5 54% · Current selection