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ARG 阿根廷大都會區乙級聯賽 · Final ·

聖馬丁布爾紮克 vs 基爾梅斯阿根廷

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score3–2預測 1–1
客隊 form
主勝39%
33%
客勝28%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction 命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝39% selection probability
Projected score1–1聖馬丁布爾紮克基爾梅斯阿根廷
Expected goals2.04Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.566% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
39% / 33% / 28%比賽結果主勝39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 基爾梅斯阿根廷 win (27.6%)雙重機會1X72.4%1.38
大 34% · 小 66%Goals 2.566%1.52
是 41% · 否 59%雙方進球59%1.69
2.04 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gap基爾梅斯阿根廷 winDifference+0.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
聖馬丁布爾紮克 win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
33%3.032.7033.3%-0.3 pp
基爾梅斯阿根廷 win28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

聖馬丁布爾紮克1.17

主隊 share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.04Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 34% · 66%

基爾梅斯阿根廷0.87

客隊 share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

聖馬丁布爾紮克

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

基爾梅斯阿根廷

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
贏 probability excluding draw
28%
2
Points from supplied form
6
1.17
Expected goals
0.87
聖馬丁布爾紮克基爾梅斯阿根廷
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01聖馬丁布爾紮克 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02基爾梅斯阿根廷 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

聖馬丁布爾紮克 vs 基爾梅斯阿根廷 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

聖馬丁布爾紮克 39%, 33%,基爾梅斯阿根廷 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.04 · 大2.5 34% · Current selection