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ARG Argentinië - Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

San Martin De Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–2Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel33%
Uitwinst28%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–1San Martin De BurzacoArgentino Quilmes
Expected goals2.04Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 33% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino Quilmes win (27.6%)Dubbele Kans1X72.4%1.38
Boven 34% · Onder 66%Goals 2.5Onder66%1.52
Ja 41% · Nee 59%Beide teams scorenNee59%1.69
2.04 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapArgentino Quilmes winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
San Martin De Burzaco win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel33%3.032.7033.3%-0.3 pp
Argentino Quilmes win28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Martin De Burzaco1.17

Thuis share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.04Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 34% · Onder 66%

Argentino Quilmes0.87

Uit share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nee 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

San Martin De Burzaco

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Argentino Quilmes

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
2
Points from supplied form
6
1.17
Expected goals
0.87
San Martin De BurzacoArgentino Quilmes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Martin De Burzaco signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino Quilmes signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

San Martin De Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Martin De Burzaco gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 33%,Argentino Quilmes gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.04 · Boven 2.5 34% · Current selection Onder