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BRA 巴西乙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

博塔弗戈SP vs 美利加 MG

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝50%
29%
客勝21%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝50% selection probability
Projected score1–1博塔弗戈SP美利加 MG
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.564% for the selected side
雙方進球60% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
50% / 29% / 21%比賽結果主勝50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 美利加 MG win (20.9%)雙重機會1X79.1%1.26
大 36% · 小 64%Goals 2.564%1.56
是 40% · 否 60%雙方進球60%1.67
2.12 total expected goals正確比分1–1
11.1 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
博塔弗戈SP win50%2.001.9049.6%+0.4 pp
29%3.453.2029.5%-0.5 pp
美利加 MG win21%4.764.5020.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

博塔弗戈SP1.35

主隊 share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 36% · 64%

美利加 MG0.77

客隊 share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

博塔弗戈SP

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

美利加 MG

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
贏 probability excluding draw
21%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.35
Expected goals
0.77
博塔弗戈SP美利加 MG
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01博塔弗戈SP signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02美利加 MG signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

博塔弗戈SP vs 美利加 MG FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

博塔弗戈SP 50%, 29%,美利加 MG 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · 大2.5 36% · Current selection