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MODEL ACCOUNTABILITY

Every verified call stays in the record.

Review each prediction market separately. Every figure compares calls made before kickoff with confirmed match data and includes both hits and misses.

Recent verified Tỷ số chính xác sample28latest settled predictions
Won / lost4 / 24pushes excluded from the rate
Exact-score hit rate14%
Average selected probability14%shown before kickoff
Calibration gap+0.2 pphit rate minus stated probability
Review window07 thg 8, 2026 — 07 thg 8, 2026recent sample, not a lifetime claim
Confidence check

Does confidence match outcomes?

One Tỷ số chính xác call per completed match
Selected probabilitySampleAverage statedActual hit rateDifference
Below 10%49%0%-9.2 pp
10–14%1512%27%+14.7 pp
15–19%717%0%-17.1 pp
20% and above229%0%-29.3 pp

These figures cover the latest 28 settled Tỷ số chính xác predictions, up to a maximum of 200. Small groups can move sharply and do not guarantee future results.

01

Set before kickoff

Each prediction and probability is recorded before the match starts.

02

Show sample size

Hit rate is displayed with the number of completed predictions and the exact review window.

03

Keep the misses

Finished match pages show the original prediction alongside the final result.

04

Respect calibration

A useful probability should match outcomes over enough comparable forecasts, not just sound confident.