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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Excursionistas vs Deportivo Laferrere

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score5–3Tahmin 2–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır49%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır22%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction Kazandı
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır49% selection probability
Projected score2–1ExcursionistasDeportivo Laferrere
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt54% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
49% / 29% / 22%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Laferrere win (22%)Çifte Şans1X78%1.28
Üst 46% · Alt 54%Goals 2.5Alt54%1.85
Evet 49% · Hayır 51%Karşılıklı gol varHayır51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.1 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapExcursionistas winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excursionistas win49%2.041.8548.8%+0.2 pp
Beraberlik29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Deportivo Laferrere win22%4.554.1022%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excursionistas1.57

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 46% · Alt 54%

Deportivo Laferrere0.95

Deplasman share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 49% · Hayır 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Excursionistas

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Deportivo Laferrere

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.57
Expected goals
0.95
ExcursionistasDeportivo Laferrere
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excursionistas signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Laferrere signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Excursionistas vs Deportivo Laferrere FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excursionistas kazanç 49%,Beraberlik 29%,Deportivo Laferrere kazanç 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · 2.5 Üst 46% · Current selection Alt