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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Final ·

Excursionistas vs Deportivo Laferrere

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score5–3Prognose 2–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier49%
Uavgjort29%
Borteseier22%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier49% selection probability
Projected score2–1ExcursionistasDeportivo Laferrere
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
49% / 29% / 22%KampresultatHjemmeseier49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Laferrere win (22%)Dobbel sjanse1X78%1.28
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 49% · Nei 51%Begge lag scorerNei51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapExcursionistas winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excursionistas win49%2.041.8548.8%+0.2 pp
Uavgjort29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Deportivo Laferrere win22%4.554.1022%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excursionistas1.57

Hjemme share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Deportivo Laferrere0.95

Borte share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nei 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Excursionistas

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Deportivo Laferrere

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.57
Expected goals
0.95
ExcursionistasDeportivo Laferrere
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excursionistas signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Laferrere signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Excursionistas vs Deportivo Laferrere FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excursionistas vunnet 49%,Uavgjort 29%,Deportivo Laferrere vunnet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under