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HUN Hungary NB I · Round 2 ·

MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır38%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır34%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır38% selection probability
Projected score2–1MTK BudapestPuskas Academy
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst58% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
38% / 28% / 34%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Çifte Şans1272.5%1.38
Üst 58% · Alt 42%Goals 2.5Üst58%1.72
Evet 61% · Hayır 39%Karşılıklı gol varEvet61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.6 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
MTK Budapest win38%2.63
Beraberlik28%3.57
Puskas Academy win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MTK Budapest1.58

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 52.1%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 58% · Alt 42%

Puskas Academy1.45

Deplasman share of expected goals 47.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 61% · Hayır 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

MTK Budapest

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Puskas Academy

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.45
MTK BudapestPuskas Academy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MTK Budapest signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Puskas Academy signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MTK Budapest kazanç 38%,Beraberlik 28%,Puskas Academy kazanç 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · 2.5 Üst 58% · Current selection Üst