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HUN Magyarország - NB I · Round 2 ·

MTK Budapest vs Puskás Akadémia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem38%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem34%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem38% selection probability
Projected score2–1MTK BudapestPuskás Akadémia
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett58% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
38% / 27% / 34%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Dupla esély1272.6%1.38
Felett 58% · Alatt 42%Goals 2.5Felett58%1.72
Igen 61% · Nem 39%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
9.6 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
MTK Budapest win38%2.63
Döntetlen27%3.70
Puskás Akadémia win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MTK Budapest1.58

Hazai share of expected goals 52.1%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 58% · Alatt 42%

Puskás Akadémia1.45

Vendég share of expected goals 47.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 61% · Nem 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

MTK Budapest

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Pontok7

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Puskás Akadémia

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Nyert probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.45
MTK BudapestPuskás Akadémia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MTK Budapest signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Puskás Akadémia signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

MTK Budapest vs Puskás Akadémia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MTK Budapest nyer 38%,Döntetlen 27%,Puskás Akadémia nyer 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · 2.5 felett 58% · Current selection Felett