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MLT Malta Premier League · Round 1 ·

Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.08 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır53%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır17%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FlorianaSliema Wanderers
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt65% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
53% / 29% / 17%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sliema Wanderers win (17.5%)Çifte Şans1X82.5%1.21
Üst 35% · Alt 65%Goals 2.5Alt65%1.54
Evet 33% · Hayır 67%Karşılıklı gol varHayır67%1.49
2.08 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.3 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Floriana win53%1.89
Beraberlik29%3.45
Sliema Wanderers win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Floriana1.55

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 35% · Alt 65%

Sliema Wanderers0.53

Deplasman share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 33% · Hayır 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Floriana

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Sliema Wanderers

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.55
Expected goals
0.53
FlorianaSliema Wanderers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Floriana signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sliema Wanderers signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Floriana kazanç 53%,Beraberlik 29%,Sliema Wanderers kazanç 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · 2.5 Üst 35% · Current selection Alt