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MLT マルタ プレミアリーグ · Round 1 ·

フロリアーナ vs スリマワンダラーズ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.08 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利53%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利17%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利53% selection probability
Projected score2–1フロリアーナスリマワンダラーズ
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー65% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
53% / 29% / 17%試合結果ホーム勝利53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes スリマワンダラーズ win (17.5%)ダブルチャンス1X82.5%1.21
オーバー 35% · アンダー 65%Goals 2.5アンダー65%1.54
はい 33% · いいえ 67%両チーム得点いいえ67%1.49
2.08 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
フロリアーナ win53%1.89
引き分け29%3.45
スリマワンダラーズ win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

フロリアーナ1.55

ホーム share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 35% · アンダー 65%

スリマワンダラーズ0.53

アウェイ share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 33% · いいえ 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

フロリアーナ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

スリマワンダラーズ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
勝ち probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.55
Expected goals
0.53
フロリアーナスリマワンダラーズ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01フロリアーナ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02スリマワンダラーズ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

フロリアーナ vs スリマワンダラーズ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

フロリアーナ 勝ち 53%,引き分け 29%,スリマワンダラーズ 勝ち 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · オーバー 2.5 35% · Current selection アンダー