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SRB Serbia Prva Liga · Maç ·

FK Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.85 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır44%
Beraberlik30%
Deplasman kazanır26%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır44% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Graficar BeogradSmederevo
Expected goals1.85Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt72% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
44% / 30% / 26%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Smederevo win (25.7%)Çifte Şans1X74.3%1.35
Üst 28% · Alt 72%Goals 2.5Alt72%1.39
Evet 36% · Hayır 64%Karşılıklı gol varHayır64%1.56
1.85 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.6 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFK Graficar Beograd winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Graficar Beograd win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Beraberlik30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Smederevo win26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Graficar Beograd1.03

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals1.85Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 28% · Alt 72%

Smederevo0.82

Deplasman share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 36% · Hayır 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

FK Graficar Beograd

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Smederevo

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
10
1.03
Expected goals
0.82
FK Graficar BeogradSmederevo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Graficar Beograd signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Smederevo signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

FK Graficar Beograd vs Smederevo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Graficar Beograd kazanç 44%,Beraberlik 30%,Smederevo kazanç 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.85 · 2.5 Üst 28% · Current selection Alt