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CHL Chile - Tercera · Match ·

Chimbarongo FC vs Lautaro de Buin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.41 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger26%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger48%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Chimbarongo FCLautaro de Buin
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
26% / 26% / 48%MatchresultatBortaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dubbelchans1274.1%1.35
Över 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Båda lagen gör målNej51%1.96
2.41 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapLautaro de Buin winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chimbarongo FC win26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Lautaro de Buin win48%2.081.8348.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chimbarongo FC1.14

Hemma share of expected goals 47.3%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 43% · Under 57%

Lautaro de Buin1.27

Borta share of expected goals 52.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Chimbarongo FC

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Lautaro de Buin

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
48%
1
Points from supplied form
10
1.14
Expected goals
1.27
Chimbarongo FCLautaro de Buin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chimbarongo FC signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lautaro de Buin signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Chimbarongo FC vs Lautaro de Buin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chimbarongo FC vunnen 26%,Oavgjort 26%,Lautaro de Buin vunnen 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Över 2.5 43% · Current selection Under