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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Final ·

Sao Joao Ver vs AD Fafe

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–3Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger31%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger40%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sao Joao VerAD Fafe
Expected goals2.02Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under67% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
31% / 29% / 40%MatchresultatBortaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Dubbelchans1271.1%1.41
Över 33% · Under 67%Goals 2.5Under67%1.49
Ja 41% · Nej 59%Båda lagen gör målNej59%1.69
2.02 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapSao Joao Ver winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sao Joao Ver win31%3.232.8031.8%-0.8 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
AD Fafe win40%2.502.2539.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sao Joao Ver0.88

Hemma share of expected goals 43.6%

Total expected goals2.02Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 33% · Under 67%

AD Fafe1.14

Borta share of expected goals 56.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nej 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Sao Joao Ver

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

AD Fafe

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
40%
11
Points from supplied form
5
0.88
Expected goals
1.14
Sao Joao VerAD Fafe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sao Joao Ver signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Fafe signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sao Joao Ver vs AD Fafe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sao Joao Ver vunnen 31%,Oavgjort 29%,AD Fafe vunnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.02 · Över 2.5 33% · Current selection Under