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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Final ·

Sao Joao Ver vs AD Fafe

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–3Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst31%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst40%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sao Joao VerAD Fafe
Expected goals2.02Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder67% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
31% / 29% / 40%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Dubbele Kans1271.1%1.41
Boven 33% · Onder 67%Goals 2.5Onder67%1.49
Ja 41% · Nee 59%Beide teams scorenNee59%1.69
2.02 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapSao Joao Ver winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sao Joao Ver win31%3.232.8031.8%-0.8 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp
AD Fafe win40%2.502.2539.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sao Joao Ver0.88

Thuis share of expected goals 43.6%

Total expected goals2.02Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 33% · Onder 67%

AD Fafe1.14

Uit share of expected goals 56.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nee 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sao Joao Ver

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

AD Fafe

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
40%
11
Points from supplied form
5
0.88
Expected goals
1.14
Sao Joao VerAD Fafe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sao Joao Ver signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Fafe signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sao Joao Ver vs AD Fafe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sao Joao Ver gewonnen 31%,Gelijkspel 29%,AD Fafe gewonnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.02 · Boven 2.5 33% · Current selection Onder