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BEL Belgien - First Division B · Final ·

Excelsior Virton vs Lierse SK

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score3–0Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger32%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Excelsior VirtonLierse SK
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 26% / 32%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Dubbelchans1274.3%1.35
Över 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Över53%1.89
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Båda lagen gör målJa57%1.75
2.79 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior Virton win42%2.382.1542%
Oavgjort26%3.853.5025.8%
Lierse SK win32%3.132.8032.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior Virton1.49

Hemma share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 53% · Under 47%

Lierse SK1.30

Borta share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Excelsior Virton

0.33pts / match
Spelade3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Poäng1

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Lierse SK

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalBorta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
32%
1
Points from supplied form
8
1.49
Expected goals
1.30
Excelsior VirtonLierse SK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior Virton signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lierse SK signalBorta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Excelsior Virton vs Lierse SK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior Virton vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 26%,Lierse SK vunnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Över 2.5 53% · Current selection Över