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BEL Belgia - Divizia 1 B · Final ·

Excelsior Virton vs Lierse SK

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score3–0Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde42%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți32%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Excelsior VirtonLierse SK
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
42% / 26% / 32%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Șansă dublă1274.3%1.35
Peste 53% · Sub 47%Goals 2.5Peste53%1.89
Da 57% · Nu 43%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57%1.75
2.79 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior Virton win42%2.382.1542%
Egal26%3.853.5025.8%
Lierse SK win32%3.132.8032.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior Virton1.49

Gazde share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 53% · Sub 47%

Lierse SK1.30

Oaspeți share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 57% · Nu 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Excelsior Virton

0.33pts / match
Jucate3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Puncte1

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Lierse SK

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Câștig probability excluding draw
32%
1
Points from supplied form
8
1.49
Expected goals
1.30
Excelsior VirtonLierse SK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior Virton signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lierse SK signalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Excelsior Virton vs Lierse SK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior Virton câștig 42%,Egal 26%,Lierse SK câștig 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Peste 2.5 53% · Current selection Peste