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FRA Frankrike - Ligue 2 · Round 3 ·

Nancy vs Dunkerque

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.94 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger27%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger45%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger45% selection probability
Projected score1–2NancyDunkerque
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
27% / 27% / 45%MatchresultatBortaseger45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Dubbelchans1272.8%1.37
Över 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Över56%1.79
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Båda lagen gör målJa57%1.75
2.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.9 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Nancy win27%3.70
Oavgjort27%3.70
Dunkerque win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nancy1.16

Hemma share of expected goals 39.5%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 56% · Under 44%

Dunkerque1.78

Borta share of expected goals 60.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Nancy

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Dunkerque

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
45%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.16
Expected goals
1.78
NancyDunkerque
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nancy signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dunkerque signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Nancy vs Dunkerque FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nancy vunnen 27%,Oavgjort 27%,Dunkerque vunnen 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Över 2.5 56% · Current selection Över