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FRA Frankrig - Ligue 2 · Round 3 ·

Nancy vs Dunkerque

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.94 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr27%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr45%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr45% selection probability
Projected score1–2NancyDunkerque
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
27% / 27% / 45%KampresultatUdesejr45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Dobbeltchance1272.8%1.37
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Begge hold scorerJa57%1.75
2.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Nancy win27%3.70
Uafgjort27%3.70
Dunkerque win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nancy1.16

Hjemme share of expected goals 39.5%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Dunkerque1.78

Ude share of expected goals 60.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Nancy

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Dunkerque

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vundet probability excluding draw
45%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.16
Expected goals
1.78
NancyDunkerque
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nancy signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dunkerque signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Nancy vs Dunkerque FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nancy vundet 27%,Uafgjort 27%,Dunkerque vundet 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over