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LTU vs ACF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.67 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger50%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger27%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger50% selection probability
Projected score1–1LTUACF
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under76% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
50% / 23% / 27%MatchresultatHemmaseger50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.9%)Dubbelchans1277.1%1.30
Över 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Ja 30% · Nej 70%Båda lagen gör målNej70%1.43
1.67 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LTU win50%2.001.8050.2%-0.2 pp
Oavgjort23%4.354.1022%+1.0 pp
ACF win27%3.703.2527.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LTU1.09

Hemma share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 24% · Under 76%

ACF0.58

Borta share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 30% · Nej 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

LTU

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

ACF

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.09
Expected goals
0.58
LTUACF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LTU signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ACF signalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

LTU vs ACF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LTU vunnen 50%,Oavgjort 23%,ACF vunnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Över 2.5 24% · Current selection Under