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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Partido ·

LTU vs ACF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.67 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local58%
Empate21%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local58% selection probability
Projected score1–1LTUACF
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de76% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
58% / 21% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ACF win (20.8%)Doble Oportunidad1X79.2%1.26
Más de 24% · Menos de 76%Goals 2.5Menos de76%1.32
Sí 30% · No 70%Ambos equipos marcanNo70%1.43
1.67 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapLTU winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LTU win58%1.721.5359.1%-1.1 pp
Empate21%4.764.5020.1%+0.9 pp
ACF win21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LTU1.09

Local share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 24% · Menos de 76%

ACF0.58

Visitante share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 30% · No 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

LTU

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

ACF

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.09
Expected goals
0.58
LTUACF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LTU signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ACF signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

LTU vs ACF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LTU ganada 58%,Empate 21%,ACF ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Más de 2.5 24% · Current selection Menos de