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EUR UEFA Europa League - Kval · Match ·

Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun

Archived pre-match prediction

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger37%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger38%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Vikingur ReykjavikFC Thun
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
37% / 25% / 38%MatchresultatBortaseger38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbelchans1275.1%1.33
Över 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
2.58 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vikingur Reykjavik win37%2.702.5036.5%
Oavgjort25%4.003.7024.7%
FC Thun win38%2.632.3538.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vikingur Reykjavik1.32

Hemma share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 48% · Under 52%

FC Thun1.26

Borta share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Vikingur Reykjavik

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Thun

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.32
Expected goals
1.26
Vikingur ReykjavikFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vikingur Reykjavik signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vikingur Reykjavik vunnen 37%,Oavgjort 25%,FC Thun vunnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Över 2.5 48% · Current selection Under