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ESP Spanien - Segunda División · Match ·

Burgos vs Córdoba

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.06 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger41%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger41% selection probability
Projected score1–1BurgosCórdoba
Expected goals2.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
41% / 30% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Córdoba win (29.3%)Dubbelchans1X70.7%1.41
Över 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Ja 38% · Nej 62%Båda lagen gör målNej62%1.61
2.06 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapCórdoba winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Burgos win41%2.442.3540.1%+0.9 pp
Oavgjort30%3.333.2029.5%+0.5 pp
Córdoba win29%3.453.1030.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Burgos1.36

Hemma share of expected goals 66%

Total expected goals2.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 34% · Under 66%

Córdoba0.70

Borta share of expected goals 34%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nej 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Burgos

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Córdoba

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
13
Points from supplied form
5
1.36
Expected goals
0.70
BurgosCórdoba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Burgos signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Córdoba signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Burgos vs Córdoba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Burgos vunnen 41%,Oavgjort 30%,Córdoba vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.06 · Över 2.5 34% · Current selection Under