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ESP Испания - Сегунда · Матч ·

Бургос vs Кордова

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.06 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score1–1БургосКордова
Expected goals2.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше66% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 30% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Кордова win (29.3%)Двойной шанс1X70.7%1.41
Больше 34% · Меньше 66%Goals 2.5Меньше66%1.52
Да 38% · Нет 62%Обе забьютНет62%1.61
2.06 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapКордова winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бургос win41%2.442.3540.1%+0.9 pp
Ничья30%3.333.2029.5%+0.5 pp
Кордова win29%3.453.1030.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бургос1.36

Хозяева share of expected goals 66%

Total expected goals2.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 34% · Меньше 66%

Кордова0.70

Гости share of expected goals 34%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Нет 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Бургос

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Кордова

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
13
Points from supplied form
5
1.36
Expected goals
0.70
БургосКордова
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бургос signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Кордова signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Бургос vs Кордова FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бургос выигрыш 41%,Ничья 30%,Кордова выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.06 · ТБ 2.5 34% · Current selection Меньше