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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Final ·

Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Atletico Morelia

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–2Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger36%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger36%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 36% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Cruz Azul HidalgoAtletico Morelia
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
36% / 27% / 36%MatchresultatBortaseger36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Dubbelchans1272.6%1.38
Över 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Över52%1.92
Ja 57% · Nej 43%Båda lagen gör målJa57%1.75
2.79 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cruz Azul Hidalgo win36%2.782.7034.8%
Oavgjort27%3.703.4027.6%
Atletico Morelia win36%2.782.5037.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo1.45

Hemma share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 52% · Under 48%

Atletico Morelia1.34

Borta share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nej 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

0.67pts / match
Spelade3Wins0Drawn2Losses1Poäng2

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/3

Borta-context · form sequence

Atletico Morelia

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalBorta won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
36%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.45
Expected goals
1.34
Cruz Azul HidalgoAtletico Morelia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cruz Azul Hidalgo signalHemma failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Morelia signalBorta won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Atletico Morelia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cruz Azul Hidalgo vunnen 36%,Oavgjort 27%,Atletico Morelia vunnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Över 2.5 52% · Current selection Över