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DNK Danmark - Division 1 · Match ·

HB Køge vs Kolding IF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.95 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger31%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger36%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger36% selection probability
Projected score1–1HB KøgeKolding IF
Expected goals1.95Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under69% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
31% / 32% / 36%MatchresultatBortaseger36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HB Køge win (31.1%)DubbelchansX268.9%1.45
Över 31% · Under 69%Goals 2.5Under69%1.45
Ja 39% · Nej 61%Båda lagen gör målNej61%1.64
1.95 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
HB Køge win31%3.23
Oavgjort32%3.13
Kolding IF win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HB Køge0.90

Hemma share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals1.95Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 31% · Under 69%

Kolding IF1.05

Borta share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nej 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

HB Køge

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Kolding IF

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
5
0.90
Expected goals
1.05
HB KøgeKolding IF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HB Køge signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kolding IF signalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

HB Køge vs Kolding IF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HB Køge vunnen 31%,Oavgjort 32%,Kolding IF vunnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.95 · Över 2.5 31% · Current selection Under